The crowd strongly favors this outcome at 74%. Pricing has diverged from the pre-event consensus, with steady flow over the last 24h.

74% implies roughly 1-in-4 odds against. Fees peak near 50% uncertainty and shrink toward the extremes.

• Base rates for comparable events in Thailand support the move
• Policy incentives align with this outcome
• Smart-money accounts (top-decile accuracy) are net buyers

Generated read of market data & public reporting — not financial advice.